Daily Technical Analysis - By FX Instructor

EURUSD Outlook

Yesterday the Greenback recovered against Euro. EURUSD slumped, bottomed at 1.5671 and closed at 1.5678. The pair had a sharp decline after touch 1.5818, which seen as a double top formation with 22/05/2008 high at 1.5813. My model is mixed with downside bias. Immediate support seen at 1.5660. Initial resistance at 1.5750. CCI in neutral area on daily chart.

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.5626
S2= 1.5575
S3= 1.5479
R1= 1.5773
R2= 1.5869
R3= 1.5920

GBPUSD Outlook

The Greenback also slumped against Sterling yesterday after a failure to break key level 1.9850. This fact forced my model to go short, targeting 1.9660. Immediate resistance seen at 1.9805. CCI just cross the 100 line down on daily chart

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.9692
S2= 1.9638
S3= 1.9561
R1= 1.9823
R2= 1.9900
R3= 1.9954

USDJPY Outlook

The new bullish channel/trend line I said yesterday seems valid, as the pair go up, topped at 104.34. However, I see a potential double top formation at 104.35 area, which forced my model to mixed, no trading zone. Immediate support seen at 103.70 area. CCI in neutral area on daily chart.

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 103.57
S2= 102.87
S3= 102.49
R1= 104.65
R2= 105.03
R3= 105.73

USDCHF Outlook

The USDCHF violated the bearish trend line, making a new bullish channel on my 1 h chart. My model goes long, targeting 1.0391. Immediate support seen at 1.0280. CCI just cross -100 line up on daily chart.

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.0257
S2= 1.0172
S3= 1.0123
R1= 1.0391
R2= 1.0440
R3= 1.0525

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The information has been prepared for information purposes only. The document is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold investments described herein. This information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, but of which we have not independently verified. FXInstructor LLC assumes no responsibilities for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person's reliance upon this information. FXInstructor LLC does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. FXInstructor LLC shall not be liable for any indirect, incidental, or consequential damages including without limitation losses, lost revenues or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results

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FOREX : Foreign Exchange Market

FOREX is a word play on the term Foreign Exchange Market. It is a market for buying and selling of currencies from all over the world. Certainly, such transactions are bound to be voluminous. It is just an estimate that there are about transactions of $1.5 trillion USD on a daily basis in the FOREX. Now just compare this with the paltry $300 billion USD a day transactions for the US Treasury Bond and the $100 billion a day transactions for the US Stock Exchange.

The FOREX came into existence in 1971 when the fixed currency exchanges were abolished. Currencies no longer had fixed values after that; on the contrary, their rates (mostly taken in comparison with the USD) were fluctuating, and changed on a daily basis. Throughout the seventies and the eighties the FOREX grew steadily, showing more advancement in the later years. The market has stupendously grown from $70 billion USD a day to the staggering amount that it transacts today on a daily basis.

There are actually about five thousand trading institutions in the FOREX. These include international banks, central government banks such as the US Federal Reserve, and commercial companies and brokers for all types of foreign currency exchange. The best thing that shows the unbiased nature of the FOREX market is that it has no fixed headquarters anywhere – it operates primarily from all major cities like New York, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris, Frankfurt, etc. One can even use the telephone or the internet to make the transactions. The major businesses at the FOREX are the buying and selling of products in other countries. Several transactions are also conducted from the currency brokers or traders who stand to make small profits with the daily fluctuations in the market.

Most of the FOREX business is centered on big banks and financial institutions, but it doesn’t mean that the FOREX is inaccessible to small investors. The recent changes in the financial regulations have effectuated this accessibility. Earlier, a minimum transaction size was required to conduct business with the FOREX. But the current rules have made it possible to break large inter-bank units into smaller bits. Each bit is worth as less as $100,000. This makes it possible to each individual investor through loans that are extended for trading, known as leverage. The ratio to control the lots is 100:1. This means, every $1000 USD will allow one to control $100,000 on the FOREX.

The benefits of trading with the FOREX are mentioned below:-

(1) Liquidity of Investments – As the FOREX is a huge market, the funds have a very high degree of liquidity. This is because of the presence of the international banks who provide their bids and carry out a large number of transactions on a daily basis. Therefore, there is always a buyer or seller for any type of currency.

(2) Highest Degree of Accessibility – The FOREX is open 24 hours a day for 5 days a week. Every Monday morning the exchange opens at Australian Standard Time and closes on Friday afternoon at New York time. Greater accessibility is provided because the transactions can be conducted from the person’s home or office.

(3) Open Market – At the FOREX, there are no secrets. All the fluctuations that occur in the market are made accessible to everyone at the same time. There is no insider trading in the FOREX.

(4) No Commission – There is no hassle of paying commission to the brokers in the FOREX. Here the brokers earn by setting up a difference between the buying price and the selling price of a currency, which is known as a spread.

It must be understood by now that for the FOREX to work effectively, the currencies must always be traded in pairs. For instance, the Japanese yen must be traded against the euro. When one kind of currency is sold, there should be another to be bought in its stead.

The profit happens because there is always mobility between the different currencies. Even if there is a miniscule change in the exchange rate, then it could mean substantial changes in the profits due to the large amount of money involved in the transactions. People are thronging to the FOREX and not any other institution due to the trust that they have in it. To add to the advantage, the market is absolutely well-advanced and uses sophisticated software for dealing out its transactions.

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