Daily Technical Analysis

By: FX Instructor

EURUSD Outlook

Yesterday we didn't see significant movement due to holidays. My model for EURUSD remains long still targeting 1.5850. An upside break of that level would open the door for 1.5950. Immediate support seen at 1.5750. CCI about to cross 100 line down, so watch out for a minor downside pullback.

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.5745
S2= 1.5718
S3= 1.5695
R1= 1.5795
R2= 1.5818
R3= 1.5845

GBPUSD Outlook

Yesterday GBPUSD didn't have enough power to test 1.9850 area and topped only at 1.9831. Today I am expecting the pair has enough power to break that level and continue it's short term bullish outlook and open the door for 1.9925. My model remains long. Immediate support seen at 1.9750. CCI in overbought area on daily chart so watch out for a downside risk.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.9771
S2= 1.9727
S3= 1.9697
R1= 1.9845
R2= 1.9875
R3= 1.9919

USDJPY Outlook

We didn't see a lot of movement of USDJPY yesterday due to holidays. My model remains long as I believe the pair is making a new bullish trend line and channel, targeting 103.95. Immediate support seen at 102.95 area. CCI in neutral area on daily chart.

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 103.17
S2= 102.97
S3= 102.81
R1= 103.53
R2= 103.69
R3= 103.89

USDCHF Outlook

The short term bearish trend of USDCHF should continue today as my trend line and channel both of 1h and 4 h is still valid. My model is short, targeting 1.0140 area. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.0280 area. CCI about to cross - 100 line up, so watch out for a minor upside risk.

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.0223
S2= 1.0205
S3= 1.0179
R1= 1.0267
R2= 1.0293
R3= 1.0311

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The information has been prepared for information purposes only. The document is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold investments described herein. This information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, but of which we have not independently verified. FXInstructor LLC assumes no responsibilities for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person's reliance upon this information. FXInstructor LLC does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. FXInstructor LLC shall not be liable for any indirect, incidental, or consequential damages including without limitation losses, lost revenues or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Disclaimer: Content in the Forex Forecast and Analysis section is for informational purposes only. Contributors submitted Forex Forecast, Forex Commentary, Forex Analysis, and Forex Articles and articles on other markets are based upon information gathered from various sources believed to be reliable, complete, and accurate. However, no guarantee can be made as to the validity of the believed sources. All statements and expressions in the Forex Forecast and Analysis section are opinions, and not meant as investment advice or solicitation. Forex Markets can be volatile and opinions may change without notice.

FOREX : Foreign Exchange Market

FOREX is a word play on the term Foreign Exchange Market. It is a market for buying and selling of currencies from all over the world. Certainly, such transactions are bound to be voluminous. It is just an estimate that there are about transactions of $1.5 trillion USD on a daily basis in the FOREX. Now just compare this with the paltry $300 billion USD a day transactions for the US Treasury Bond and the $100 billion a day transactions for the US Stock Exchange.

The FOREX came into existence in 1971 when the fixed currency exchanges were abolished. Currencies no longer had fixed values after that; on the contrary, their rates (mostly taken in comparison with the USD) were fluctuating, and changed on a daily basis. Throughout the seventies and the eighties the FOREX grew steadily, showing more advancement in the later years. The market has stupendously grown from $70 billion USD a day to the staggering amount that it transacts today on a daily basis.

There are actually about five thousand trading institutions in the FOREX. These include international banks, central government banks such as the US Federal Reserve, and commercial companies and brokers for all types of foreign currency exchange. The best thing that shows the unbiased nature of the FOREX market is that it has no fixed headquarters anywhere – it operates primarily from all major cities like New York, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris, Frankfurt, etc. One can even use the telephone or the internet to make the transactions. The major businesses at the FOREX are the buying and selling of products in other countries. Several transactions are also conducted from the currency brokers or traders who stand to make small profits with the daily fluctuations in the market.

Most of the FOREX business is centered on big banks and financial institutions, but it doesn’t mean that the FOREX is inaccessible to small investors. The recent changes in the financial regulations have effectuated this accessibility. Earlier, a minimum transaction size was required to conduct business with the FOREX. But the current rules have made it possible to break large inter-bank units into smaller bits. Each bit is worth as less as $100,000. This makes it possible to each individual investor through loans that are extended for trading, known as leverage. The ratio to control the lots is 100:1. This means, every $1000 USD will allow one to control $100,000 on the FOREX.

The benefits of trading with the FOREX are mentioned below:-

(1) Liquidity of Investments – As the FOREX is a huge market, the funds have a very high degree of liquidity. This is because of the presence of the international banks who provide their bids and carry out a large number of transactions on a daily basis. Therefore, there is always a buyer or seller for any type of currency.

(2) Highest Degree of Accessibility – The FOREX is open 24 hours a day for 5 days a week. Every Monday morning the exchange opens at Australian Standard Time and closes on Friday afternoon at New York time. Greater accessibility is provided because the transactions can be conducted from the person’s home or office.

(3) Open Market – At the FOREX, there are no secrets. All the fluctuations that occur in the market are made accessible to everyone at the same time. There is no insider trading in the FOREX.

(4) No Commission – There is no hassle of paying commission to the brokers in the FOREX. Here the brokers earn by setting up a difference between the buying price and the selling price of a currency, which is known as a spread.

It must be understood by now that for the FOREX to work effectively, the currencies must always be traded in pairs. For instance, the Japanese yen must be traded against the euro. When one kind of currency is sold, there should be another to be bought in its stead.

The profit happens because there is always mobility between the different currencies. Even if there is a miniscule change in the exchange rate, then it could mean substantial changes in the profits due to the large amount of money involved in the transactions. People are thronging to the FOREX and not any other institution due to the trust that they have in it. To add to the advantage, the market is absolutely well-advanced and uses sophisticated software for dealing out its transactions.

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