EURUSD, AUDUSD, EURCHF Daily Outlook

EURUSD

The Euro recovered its recent losses after a 240 points rally on yesterday following ECB president Trichet who said that an interest-rate hike in July is "possible". The surprising hawkish shift brings the elevated levels on EURUSD back in focus, at least for now. Although technically we are back into a neutral zone, the NFP data today could decide the market direction for the upcoming weeks. Major resistance is formed around 1.5630 and higher into the 1.5740 region by a downward trendline from 1.6019 through 1.5818. While the upper half of the 1.56 area remains intact, downside won't be stable at all and a "good" figure on NFP may bring recent lows into the 1.54 and 1.53 zones back on focus. Important support starts at 1.5550 backed by 1.5485 and 1.5370. Current quote is 1.5596 @06:44 GMT

Support levels: 1.5550, 1.5520, 1.5485, 1.5425 and 1.5370.
Resistance levels: 1.5610, 1.5630, 1.5645, 1.5700 and 1.5740.
Market sentiment: long-term : bullish, mid-term : bullish, short-term : neutral

AUDUSD

Key resistance into the 0.9620-0.9650 range is aimed by the Aussie and a break is needed to resume uptrend. While the said resistance holds, more rangebound action supported into the 0.9500 zone is expected. Upside is favored while the 0.9475 support is intact. Current quote is 0.9593 @06:44 GMT

Support levels: 0.9560, 0.9510, 0.9475 and 0.9425.
Resistance levels: 0.9610, 0.9620 0.9650 and 0.9700.
Market sentiment: long-term : bullish, mid-term : bullish, short-term : bullish

EURCHF

The break of the 1.6170 resistance is encouraging for the bulls, interim support being seen now at 1.6170 and 1.6125. Important resistance formed by a downward trendline is noticed into the 1.6240 region. Bearish structure is intact and a break of 1.6240 will signal a resume of previous uptrend. Current quote is 1.6206 @06:44 GMT

Support levels: 1.6170, 1.6125, 1.6075 and 1.6035.
Resistance levels: 1.6240, 1.6300 and 1.6380.

E-Forex

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FOREX : Foreign Exchange Market

FOREX is a word play on the term Foreign Exchange Market. It is a market for buying and selling of currencies from all over the world. Certainly, such transactions are bound to be voluminous. It is just an estimate that there are about transactions of $1.5 trillion USD on a daily basis in the FOREX. Now just compare this with the paltry $300 billion USD a day transactions for the US Treasury Bond and the $100 billion a day transactions for the US Stock Exchange.

The FOREX came into existence in 1971 when the fixed currency exchanges were abolished. Currencies no longer had fixed values after that; on the contrary, their rates (mostly taken in comparison with the USD) were fluctuating, and changed on a daily basis. Throughout the seventies and the eighties the FOREX grew steadily, showing more advancement in the later years. The market has stupendously grown from $70 billion USD a day to the staggering amount that it transacts today on a daily basis.

There are actually about five thousand trading institutions in the FOREX. These include international banks, central government banks such as the US Federal Reserve, and commercial companies and brokers for all types of foreign currency exchange. The best thing that shows the unbiased nature of the FOREX market is that it has no fixed headquarters anywhere – it operates primarily from all major cities like New York, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris, Frankfurt, etc. One can even use the telephone or the internet to make the transactions. The major businesses at the FOREX are the buying and selling of products in other countries. Several transactions are also conducted from the currency brokers or traders who stand to make small profits with the daily fluctuations in the market.

Most of the FOREX business is centered on big banks and financial institutions, but it doesn’t mean that the FOREX is inaccessible to small investors. The recent changes in the financial regulations have effectuated this accessibility. Earlier, a minimum transaction size was required to conduct business with the FOREX. But the current rules have made it possible to break large inter-bank units into smaller bits. Each bit is worth as less as $100,000. This makes it possible to each individual investor through loans that are extended for trading, known as leverage. The ratio to control the lots is 100:1. This means, every $1000 USD will allow one to control $100,000 on the FOREX.

The benefits of trading with the FOREX are mentioned below:-

(1) Liquidity of Investments – As the FOREX is a huge market, the funds have a very high degree of liquidity. This is because of the presence of the international banks who provide their bids and carry out a large number of transactions on a daily basis. Therefore, there is always a buyer or seller for any type of currency.

(2) Highest Degree of Accessibility – The FOREX is open 24 hours a day for 5 days a week. Every Monday morning the exchange opens at Australian Standard Time and closes on Friday afternoon at New York time. Greater accessibility is provided because the transactions can be conducted from the person’s home or office.

(3) Open Market – At the FOREX, there are no secrets. All the fluctuations that occur in the market are made accessible to everyone at the same time. There is no insider trading in the FOREX.

(4) No Commission – There is no hassle of paying commission to the brokers in the FOREX. Here the brokers earn by setting up a difference between the buying price and the selling price of a currency, which is known as a spread.

It must be understood by now that for the FOREX to work effectively, the currencies must always be traded in pairs. For instance, the Japanese yen must be traded against the euro. When one kind of currency is sold, there should be another to be bought in its stead.

The profit happens because there is always mobility between the different currencies. Even if there is a miniscule change in the exchange rate, then it could mean substantial changes in the profits due to the large amount of money involved in the transactions. People are thronging to the FOREX and not any other institution due to the trust that they have in it. To add to the advantage, the market is absolutely well-advanced and uses sophisticated software for dealing out its transactions.

FOREX-DD : Forex Daily Analysis