Pro FX Commentary: AUDUSD

Price: 0.9525

Resistance:	0.9560	0.9580	0.9611	0.9636
Support:	0.9510	0.9485	0.9458	0.9422

GFT Forex

Bias:

Until 0.9510 breaks a bullish argument is still possible - above 0.9570-80 would confirm the rally

Daily Bullish:	The 0.9510 support held perfectly and this is encouraging although today has seen losses to very nearly retest this support. While it holds it does provide a more bullish interpretation. To confirm this we'll need a move back above 0.9535 followed by 0.9560-80. Once this occurs look for follow-through to 0.9636 which could generate a correction initially. Next resistance is then at 0.9666 and anywhere above here (max 0.9720) should provide a major high.
MT Bullish:	29th May: Yesterday's much stronger whippy price action is beginning to make me feel that the upside is limited to 0.9666 and possibly that we have seen a high at 0.9652. At most the 0.9720 level should cap.
Daily Bearish:	The 0.9510 support remains a key area and only break here would undermine the upside. Breach would trigger follow-through to 0.9485 and probably 0.9458. Take care here as this could cause a pullback. Only below would maintain the downwards momentum for 0.9390 and possibly 0.9348.
MT Bearish:	28th May: While there is a risk of seeing 0.9510 I suspect we are going to see 0.9666 and probably 0.9720 first from where a larger decline should begin. Thus only an earlier move below 0.9500 will confirm larger losses.

ELLIOTT WAVE COMMENTS

GFT Forex

2nd June

We have seen the 50% retracement in Wave iv hold at 0.9510 on Friday and this needs to hold to retain the 0.9666 and 0.9720 targets.

This morning has seen a second test lower and we therefore need a break back above the 0.9560-80 pivot region. If this occurs then look for 0.9636 being the prior Wave b and which could produce a small reaction. Above means we should watch the 66.7% Wave -v- target at 0.9666 and the 76.4% projection at 0.9720.

Any earlier drop below 0.9510 would raise the risk of seeing an extension to 0.9458-85 where we will need to be prepared for a correction. Direct breach would imply stronger losses to the 261.8% projection in minor Wave c at 0.9348.

Ian Copsey
Global Forex Trading
http://www.gftforex.com

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FOREX : Foreign Exchange Market

FOREX is a word play on the term Foreign Exchange Market. It is a market for buying and selling of currencies from all over the world. Certainly, such transactions are bound to be voluminous. It is just an estimate that there are about transactions of $1.5 trillion USD on a daily basis in the FOREX. Now just compare this with the paltry $300 billion USD a day transactions for the US Treasury Bond and the $100 billion a day transactions for the US Stock Exchange.

The FOREX came into existence in 1971 when the fixed currency exchanges were abolished. Currencies no longer had fixed values after that; on the contrary, their rates (mostly taken in comparison with the USD) were fluctuating, and changed on a daily basis. Throughout the seventies and the eighties the FOREX grew steadily, showing more advancement in the later years. The market has stupendously grown from $70 billion USD a day to the staggering amount that it transacts today on a daily basis.

There are actually about five thousand trading institutions in the FOREX. These include international banks, central government banks such as the US Federal Reserve, and commercial companies and brokers for all types of foreign currency exchange. The best thing that shows the unbiased nature of the FOREX market is that it has no fixed headquarters anywhere – it operates primarily from all major cities like New York, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris, Frankfurt, etc. One can even use the telephone or the internet to make the transactions. The major businesses at the FOREX are the buying and selling of products in other countries. Several transactions are also conducted from the currency brokers or traders who stand to make small profits with the daily fluctuations in the market.

Most of the FOREX business is centered on big banks and financial institutions, but it doesn’t mean that the FOREX is inaccessible to small investors. The recent changes in the financial regulations have effectuated this accessibility. Earlier, a minimum transaction size was required to conduct business with the FOREX. But the current rules have made it possible to break large inter-bank units into smaller bits. Each bit is worth as less as $100,000. This makes it possible to each individual investor through loans that are extended for trading, known as leverage. The ratio to control the lots is 100:1. This means, every $1000 USD will allow one to control $100,000 on the FOREX.

The benefits of trading with the FOREX are mentioned below:-

(1) Liquidity of Investments – As the FOREX is a huge market, the funds have a very high degree of liquidity. This is because of the presence of the international banks who provide their bids and carry out a large number of transactions on a daily basis. Therefore, there is always a buyer or seller for any type of currency.

(2) Highest Degree of Accessibility – The FOREX is open 24 hours a day for 5 days a week. Every Monday morning the exchange opens at Australian Standard Time and closes on Friday afternoon at New York time. Greater accessibility is provided because the transactions can be conducted from the person’s home or office.

(3) Open Market – At the FOREX, there are no secrets. All the fluctuations that occur in the market are made accessible to everyone at the same time. There is no insider trading in the FOREX.

(4) No Commission – There is no hassle of paying commission to the brokers in the FOREX. Here the brokers earn by setting up a difference between the buying price and the selling price of a currency, which is known as a spread.

It must be understood by now that for the FOREX to work effectively, the currencies must always be traded in pairs. For instance, the Japanese yen must be traded against the euro. When one kind of currency is sold, there should be another to be bought in its stead.

The profit happens because there is always mobility between the different currencies. Even if there is a miniscule change in the exchange rate, then it could mean substantial changes in the profits due to the large amount of money involved in the transactions. People are thronging to the FOREX and not any other institution due to the trust that they have in it. To add to the advantage, the market is absolutely well-advanced and uses sophisticated software for dealing out its transactions.

FOREX-DD : Forex Daily Analysis